20 bancos europeos, que están desesperados por una solución a la crisis del euro

noviembre 24, 2011, 10:26 AM
Líderes de la UE tramado sobre lo que debe hacer para detener la escalada de crisis de la eurozona y los bancos de toda Europa están rezando para que ellos actuar juntos antes de que sea demasiado tarde.

Las condiciones económicas en el núcleo de los estados eurozona como Alemania han empezado a tener un éxito , y señales de que las condiciones de crédito se están apretando para que los bancos están en todas partes. Los bancos con alta exposición a los PIIGS (Portugal, Italia, Irlanda, Grecia y España) sería el primero en sentir el calor de una cesación de pagos o la salida del euro.

Tomamos una lista de los mayores bancos europeos por los activos y se comparó su capitalización de mercado, acciones comunes, y la exposición total de la deuda PIIGS (gracias por las estadísticas bancarias, EBA!). Luego se calculó la exposición a la deuda PIIGS (soberanos y privados) como un porcentaje del capital de los bancos comunes. (Tenga en cuenta que HSBC , ING , Société Générale, e incluso están ausentes de esta lista.)

Hasta ahora, nuestro historial es bastante bueno - que predijo que Dexia era el banco más vulnerables fuera de los PIIGS en julio . Si la crisis de la eurozona sigue aumentando, veremos más y más bancos someterse a la presión de la exposición y se vuelve incapaz de tomar dinero prestado.

Peor de los 20 punto de corte para nuestra prueba terminó siendo igual a la exposición sobre el 175% del capital ordinario, pero en realidad se sale de control una vez que llegue a los bancos PIIGS (# 1-9). Pero la caída de Dexia sugiere que la vulnerabilidad del banco ya está filtrándose fuera de la periferia hacia el centro (# 10-20).

#20 - Royal Bank of Scotland Group (UK)

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PIIGS Exposure: $146.42 billion

Market Cap: $60.96 billion

Common Equity: $83.58 billion

Exposure as % of Common Equity: 175%

Source: EBA Stress Tests (exposure and common equity) and Bloomberg (market cap)

#19 - Landesbank Berlin (Germany)

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PIIGS Exposure: $13.11 billion

Market Cap: $5.60 billion

Common Equity: $7.31 billion

Exposure as % of Common Equity: 179%

Source: EBA Stress Tests (exposure and common equity) and Bloomberg (market cap)

#18 - Barclays (UK)

PIIGS Exposure: $123.51 billion

Market Cap: $43.91 billion

Common Equity: $65.510 billion

Exposure as % of Common Equity: 189%

Source: EBA Stress Tests (exposure and common equity) and Bloomberg (market cap)

#17 - Landesbank Baden-Württemberg (Germany)

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PIIGS Exposure: $32.05 billion

Market Cap: $11.27 billion

Common Equity: $13.94 billion

Exposure as % of Common Debt: 230%

Source: EBA Stress Tests (exposure and common equity) and Google Finance (market cap)

#16 - DZ Bank (Germany)

PIIGS Exposure: $24.69 billion

Common Equity: $10.34 billion

Exposure as % of Common Equity: 239%

 Source: EBA Stress Tests (exposure and common equity) and Google Finance (market cap)

#15 - KBC Bank (Belgium)

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PIIGS Exposure: $39.70 billion

Market Cap: $9.05 billion

Common Equity: $16.09 billion

Exposure as % of Equity: 247%

Source: EBA Stress Tests (exposure and common equity) and NYSE Euronext (market cap)

#14 - Credit Agricole (France)

PIIGS Exposure: $192.06 billion

Market Cap: $29.97 billion

Common Equity: $65.50 billion

Exposure as % of Common Equity: 293%

Source: EBA Stress Tests (exposure and common equity) and Bloomberg (market cap)

#13 - Deutsche Bank (Germany)

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PIIGS Exposure: $140.61 billion

Market Cap: $49.73 billion

Common Equity: $43.02 billion

Exposure as % of Common Equity: 327%

Source: EBA Stress Tests (exposure and common equity) and Bloomberg (market cap)

#12 - BNP Paribas (France)

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PIIGS Exposure: $280.96 billion

Market Cap: $79.91 billion

Common Equity: $78.43 billion

Exposure as % of Common Equity: 358%

Source: EBA Stress Tests (exposure and common equity) and Bloomberg (market cap)

#11 - Commerzbank (Germany)

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PIIGS Exposure: $67.38 billion

Market Cap: $18.45 billion

Common Equity: $14.60 billion

Exposure as % of Common Equity: 462%

Source: EBA Stress Tests (exposure and common equity) and Bloomberg (market cap)

#10 - Dexia (Belgium)

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PIIGS Exposure: $132.95 billion

Market Cap: $5.229 billion

Common Equity: $10.34 billion

Exposure as % of Common Equity: 552%

Source: EBA Stress Tests (exposure and common equity) and Bloomberg (market cap)

#9 - Banco Santander (Spain)

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PIIGS Exposure: $567.20 billion

Market Cap: $92.08 billion

Common Equity: $59.51 billion

Exposure as % of Common Equity: 953%

Source: EBA Stress Tests (exposure and common equity) and Bloomberg (market cap)

#8 - Unicredit (Italy)

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PIIGS Exposure: $541.54 billion

Market Cap: $34.41 billion

Common Equity: $50.59 billion

Exposure as % of Common Equity: 1,070%

Source: EBA Stress Tests (exposure and common equity) and Bloomberg (market cap)

#7 - Bank of Ireland (Ireland)

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PIIGS Exposure: $102.43 billion

Market Cap: $1.39 billion

Common Equity: $7.40 billion

Exposure as % of Common Equity: 1,385%

Source: EBA Stress Tests (exposure and common equity) and Bloomberg (market cap)

#6 - BBVA (Spain)

PIIGS Exposure: $552.90 billion

Market Cap: $52.80 billion

Common Equity: $35.39 billion

Exposure as % of Common Equity: 1,566%

Source: EBA Stress Tests (exposure and common equity) and Bloomberg (market cap)

#5 - EFG Eurobank Ergasias (Greece)

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PIIGS Exposure: $76.01 billion

Market Cap: $2.07 billion

Common Equity: $4.74 billion

Exposure as % of Common Equity: 1,601%

Source: EBA Stress Tests (exposure and common equity) and Bloomberg (market cap)

#4 - Intesa Sanpaolo Group (Italy)

PIIGS Exposure: $607.03 billion

Market Cap: $51.06 billion

Common Equity: $37.07 billion

Exposure as % of Common Equity: 1,638%

Source: EBA Stress Tests (exposure and common equity) and Bloomberg (market cap)

#3 - Banco Popular Español (Spain)

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PIIGS Exposure: $182.94 billion

Market Cap: $6.91 billion

Common Equity: $9.49 billion

Exposure as % of Common Equity: 1,927%

Source: EBA Stress Tests (exposure and common equity) and Bloomberg (market cap)

#2 - Banca MPS (Italy)

PIIGS Exposure: $290.98 billion

Market Cap: $7.96 billion

Common Equity: $6.24 billion

Exposure as % of Common Equity: 4,666%

Source: EBA Stress Tests (exposure and common equity) and Bloomberg (market cap)

#1 - Allied Irish Banks (Ireland)

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PIIGS Exposure: $129.02 billion

Market Cap: $2.00 billion

Common Equity: $0.387 billion

Exposure as % of Common Equity: 33,352%

Source: EBA Stress Tests (exposure and common equity) and Bloomberg (market cap)

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/european-banks-praying-for-solution-euro-crisis-2011-11?op=1#ixzz1efosbjAg